Tiffany Luck on why AI's bottleneck is adoption, not intelligence
NEA partner Tiffany Luck argues the real constraint on AI has moved from intelligence to adoption, and that the gap between what frontier models can do and what the world actually deploys is where the value, and the investment, now sit.
The Adoption Gap
The frontier keeps getting smarter, but the binding constraint is how slowly the world actually adopts it, the same lag that kept Waymo off the road for years after the cars were ready.
Probably the cars were ready to be on the road far ahead of when they actually got on the road.
Intelligence Is Not Enough
Raw intelligence is not enough on its own — it has to be converted into real outcomes — which is why OpenAI and Anthropic are now standing up dedicated deployment arms.
We need to keep, you know, kind of keep going up that intelligence curve. But we really need to figure out how to get up the deployment curve of the adoption curve.
Forward-Deployed Engineers
Many companies still need help turning raw AI into working deployments, so the stopgap is embedding engineers inside the customer, and Anthropic is funding that bridge directly with a $100 million academy to train 10,000 engineers.
they're investing $100 million to train 10,000 engineers, kind of between now and the end of next year
Rubber Meets the Road
The buyer's question has shifted from whether AI is powerful to what return it actually produces for every dollar spent.
what is that ROI based on? You know, what is the value I'm driving based on what I'm spending?
Own Your Own Intelligence
Enterprises increasingly want to own part of their intelligence stack rather than rent all of it, because they see keeping data and workflows in-house as the way to keep compounding their moat.
enterprises want to keep their moat and they want to keep compounding their moat. That means data private, that means compounding workflows
Not Every Query Needs the Frontier
Because not every request needs a frontier model, routing the everyday work — roughly 80% of tasks — to a cheaper in-house model can beat the base models on both performance and cost.
the 80% that gets done or the everyday things that get done could actually be tackled by an enterprise's own model.
Physical AI Is the Next Wave
Luck's next frontier is physical AI: the breakthrough came through text, and she is now excited about world models and physical intelligence — AI that acts in the real world, not just on a screen.
the other area we're super excited about is this physical AI