Alex Stamos on why AI-driven attacks are the new normal
Cognition CISO Alex Stamos on Black October: why a wave of AI-accelerated exploits has collapsed the time between a bug's disclosure and mass exploitation to hours, left ordinary people exposed through reused passwords and over-trusted agents, and pointed to one path through, which is to find the bugs, fix them, and rewrite the unsafe software the internet runs on.
Black October is a takeoff, not a spike
Stamos calls the last 30 days the craziest in the history of cybersecurity, and his point is that the threat level has stepped up to a new plateau it will not fall back from for years.
This is probably the new normal for several years
One anonymous request can own the whole box
The headline PHP bug is a pre-authentication remote code execution, which means an attacker needs no login at all to run code at the same level as your web server, and that server can see all of your data.
You will have access to what is happening live but also probably everything in the database
Spray now, sort later
When a bug this broad drops, dozens of groups automatically break into as much as they can and triage afterward, because most of what they grab is worthless but a small slice is gold.
You just copy it all and then you figure out later what was interesting. 95% of it's going to be useless. 5% of it will be gold.
Disclosure is the starting gun
Cloudflare's numbers, cited on the show, show exploitation of the PHP bug jumping from thousands of attempts before the public patch to millions within hours, and Stamos's point is that AI lets attackers act on the fix faster than defenders can deploy it.
The traditional I have to wait doesn't really exist because you can just have your AI agent go do the rest of those steps automatically
Your reused password is the real breach
For ordinary people the leaked databases matter most through one weak link: a password reused across sites, because once it unlocks your email, that inbox can reset almost everything else you own.
If you get access to somebody's email, their life is over because then you can use that to reset almost all their other passwords
The scary part is not the model, it is you
Stamos separates two worries: models escaping during evals is being reduced and is not the real danger, while people handing consumer agents their entire password vault to run their money is the threat he calls insane.
Open AI's models going crazy and hacking you is not actually the threat that people should worry about
The only way out is to rewrite the internet
Stamos's optimistic turn is that these decade-old bugs were always there and would be found regardless, so the path through the hard years ahead is to find them, fix them, and rewrite the unsafe software the internet runs on.
This is something I've been calling for actually for a while is like we just need to rewrite a huge amount of the software that underlies the internet