Chey Tae-won on why AI turns memory demand exponential
SK Group's chairman argues the AI era rewired memory demand — from a boom-bust commodity indexed to device counts into the structural bottleneck of inference, where every agent's KV cache has to live somewhere.
From Per-Person to Per-Agent
In the old world memory demand was capped by the number of people and devices, so it ran in booms and busts; in the AI era each person may run tens or hundreds of agents, and the curve turns exponential.
you might had that the tens over the hundreds different of your own agent so that every agent need that a lot of memories
Inference Makes Memory the Bottleneck
The reason demand explodes is the KV cache: every agent generating tokens produces one that has to be stored somewhere, which makes memory the real bottleneck in the inference market.
because that the memory is a kind of, uh, real bottleneck and the we have to solve it.
Hot DRAM, Cold Flash
Because you cannot fit every agent's context in the fastest memory, the KV-cache era forces a pyramid: DRAM and HBM hold the hot, instant data while NAND flash stores the cold context you retrieve on demand.
that's the kind of, uh, the pyramid, the hierarchy, uh, of the what? The whole memory storage systems.
"That's Not Enough"
SK Hynix plans to double total capacity within five years and analysts warn of oversupply, but Chey says his customers call even a doubling insufficient and ask for five or six times more.
But my customers said that that's not enough. We need that more.
The Business Nobody Wanted
When Chey acquired Hynix about fifteen years ago it had spent over a decade in a bank workout, burdened by cyclical multi-billion-dollar CapEx, and his bet was that memory is the most sophisticated manufacturing business there is — so if you can really do it, you can do anything.
this memory, uh, manufacturing is most sophisticated, uh, the manufacturing business. So if you Really do it, then you can do anything.
The Metric Is Token Cost
Chey reframes the AI-bubble debate as a question about the cost of intelligence, and points out the cost of a token has already fallen roughly five to tenfold in three years — with memory now one of the levers pushing it down.
within a three years, actually, token cost is about one fifth of what, the one tenth.
Memory as a Service
Chey floats a way out of the commodity trap: instead of shipping raw chips priced by the gigabyte, sell tuned, managed memory systems plus software for the inference market — which he admits is still just an idea.
we could actually memory services that the memory as a service.