Chesky & Isaacson on AI happening to them, not for them
On CNBC's Squawk Pod, Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky argues agents, not chatbots, are the future and that most people feel AI is happening to them rather than for them, while historian Walter Isaacson explains why an industry that fears its own technology keeps building it anyway.
Agents, Not Chatbots
Chesky bets the future belongs to agents, and says today's chatbot is the wrong interface for one -- powerful engine, flimsy frame.
I do think agents are the future and chatbots are not. And I think right now the interface for an agent is a chatbot. And so it's kind of like taking a jet engine and putting on the back of a bicycle.
A Front-Door Agent Would Be an OS, Not an App
If a single agent ever becomes everyone's default way onto the internet, Chesky says it would have to be a whole operating system, not a chat app.
That agent would have to be the equivalent of a full operating system. They'd have to be the equivalent of a super app. They can't just be like a chatbot. And if somebody built that, maybe they could be the front door to the internet, but it's not going to be what we've seen yet.
Trust Is the Real Moat
Even in a world where every host and guest has an agent, Chesky says the hard parts -- discovery and trust -- still need a marketplace to solve them.
We didn't invent the idea that your home was on a website, but we basically were able to collect and aggregate all of them. We were able to build a trust system that was uniform. We were able to provide $3 million of insurance equivalent for protection.
Happening to Them, Not for Them
Chesky says Silicon Valley's own language is turning the public against AI: most people feel it is being done to them, not built for them.
We use words like super intelligence. Super intelligence sounds like an alien species. The average person does not want an alien species smarter than them. I think the average person feels like AI is happening to them, not for them.
The Valley Before the Jobs
Chesky is bullish that AI creates more jobs than it destroys, but warns of a painful gap where the old jobs go before the new ones arrive.
I am extremely bullish that ultimately AI is going to create a lot more jobs than it destroys. My concern is that there will be this valley where maybe a lot of jobs will be destroyed before the new jobs are created.
A Thousand-Year Cycle, and a Money Bubble
Chesky holds two beliefs at once: the AI opportunity is being underestimated, and far too much money is chasing companies with no product.
I think two things can be true where we might be underestimating the overall size of the AI opportunity, but we're kind of maybe plowing too much money right now into too many dreams that won't materialize.
Why They Build Anyway
Isaacson says the builders themselves put real odds on catastrophe, yet competition -- between each other and against China -- makes stopping to regulate impossible.
Well, why are you doing these things then? Why don't you get together and regulate? And of course, competition. Competition between themselves makes that impossible.
Checking Each Other's Homework Isn't Enough
Isaacson likes the idea of rival labs embedding watchers in each other, but says it is nowhere near enough on its own.
Embed people from the other companies in your company so that we can figure out if you're doing something really bad. It's like checking each other's homework or something. That's probably a good idea. Is it a totally sufficient idea? No.